程乙峰,刘志辉

• 1:新疆大学资源与环境科学学院
• 2:绿洲生态教育部重点实验室
• 3:新疆基础地理信息中心/新疆测绘档案资料馆

摘要(Abstract)：

针对传统知识驱动型滑坡灾害研究多依赖专业人员经验,具有主观性和不确定性的问题,该文提出了基于数据驱动滑坡致灾因子评价及危险性区划的方法。采用证据权模型,较好地平衡了滑坡危险性区划中准确性与高效性之间的矛盾,实现了较为精确的滑坡易发性及危险性区划;利用感知层、网络层、应用层的物联网技术,实现了高危险区滑坡点在线预警监测。3S技术支持下的滑坡危险性区划及监测实验结果表明:所用模型及监测技术不仅可以准确评价滑坡致灾因子权重及危险性区划,还能够精准、高效实现滑坡点实时监控预警。

关键词(KeyWords)： 3S技术;滑坡;危险性区划;物联网;监测

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation):

作者(Author): 程乙峰,刘志辉

DOI: 10.16251/j.cnki.1009-2307.2016.08.020

参考文献(References)：

• [1]章书成.泥石流研究述评[J].力学进展,1989,19(3):365-375.
• [2]杜榕桓,李鸿琏,唐邦兴,等.三十年来的中国泥石流研究[J].自然灾害学报,1995,4(1):64-73.
• [3]BREMER M,SASS O.Combining airborne and terrestrial laser scanning for quantifying erosion and deposition by a debris flow event[J].Geomorphology,2012,138(1):49-60.
• [4]WIECZORK G F.Evaluating danger landslide catalogue maps[J].Bulletin of the Association of Engineering Geologists,1984,1(1):337-342.
• [5]李阔,唐川.泥石流危险性评价研究进展[J].灾害学,2007,22(1):106-111.
• [6]HANSEN A.Landslide hazard analysis[M]//BRUSDEN D,PRIOR D B.Slope instability.Chichester,U.K:John Wiley&Sone,1984:523-543.
• [7]VARNES D J.Landslide hazard zonation:a review of principle and practice[J].UNESCO,Natural Hazards,1984,3.
• [8]ELDEEN M T.Predisaster physical planning:integration of disaster risk analysis into physical planning a case study in Tunisia[J].Disasters,1980,4(2):211-222.
• [9]唐川,GRUNERT J.滑坡灾害评价原理和方法研究[J].地理学报,1998,53(S1):149-157.
• [10]CROWLEY J K,HUBBARD B E,MARS J C.Analysis of potential debris flow source areas on Mount Shasta,California,by using airborne and satellite remote sensing data[J].Remote Sensing of Environment,2003,87(s2/3):345-358.
• [11]DENNIS M,THAD A,JACEK S.Surficial patterns of debris flow deposition on alluvial fans in Death Valley,CA using airborne laser swath mapping data[J].Geomorphology,2006,74(1):152-163.
• [12]CAVALLI M,MARCHI L.Characterisation of the surface morphology of an alpine alluvial fan using airborne LiDAR[J].Natural Hazards&Earth System Sciences,2008,8(2):323-333.
• [13]SAEZ J L,CORONA C,STOFFEL M,et al.Debrisflow activity in abandoned channels of the Manival torrent reconstructed with LiDAR and tree-ring data[J].Natural Hazards&Earth System Sciences,2011,11(5):1247-1257.
• [14]CONWAY S,DECAULNE A,BALME M,et al.A new approach to estimating hazard posed by debris flows in the Westfjords of Iceland[J].Geomorphology,2010,114(4):556-572.
• [15]BLAHUT J,HORTON P,STERLACCHINI S,et al.Debris flow hazard modeling on medium scale:Valtellina di Tirano,Italy[J].Natural Hazards&Earth System Sciences,2010,10(11):2379-2390.
• [16]童立强,聂洪峰,李建存,等.喜马拉雅山地区大型泥石流遥感调查与发育特征研究[J].国土资源遥感,2013,25(4):104-112.
• [17]杨小兵.基于多光谱影像和DEM的泥石流堆积扇识别研究[D].兰州:兰州大学,2013.
• [18]李凌婧,姚鑫,张永双,等.汶川地震绵远河流域地质灾害遥感提取与分布特征研究[J].工程地质学报,2014,22(1):46-55.
• [19]HOLLINGSWORTH R,KOVACS G S.Soil slumps and debris flows:prediction and protection[J].Bulletin of the Association of Engineering Geologists,1981,38(1):17-28.
• [20]王志旺,李端有,王湘桂.证据权法在滑坡危险度区划研究中的应用[J].岩土工程学报,2007,29(8):1268-1273.
• [21]徐仕琪,赵同阳,朱志新,等.ArcGIS证据权模型在铜矿成矿预测中的应用:以博格达-哈尔里克成矿带为例[J].地质与勘探,2013,49(5):981-989.
• [22]徐则民,黄润秋,唐正光,等.植被护坡的局限性及其对深层滑坡孕育的贡献[J].岩石力学与工程学报,2005,24(3):439-440.
• [23]FURUYA G,SASSA K,HIURA H,et al.Mechanism of creep movement caused by landslide activity and underground erosion in crystalline schist,Shikoku Island,Southwestern Japan[J].EngineeringGeology,1999,53(3/4):311-325.
• [24]孙德永.南昆铁路八渡滑坡工程整治[M].北京:中国铁道出版社,2000.