张荣天,焦华富

• 1:扬州大学苏中发展研究院
• 2:安徽师范大学国土资源与旅游学院

摘要(Abstract)：

针对当前县域尺度城镇化研究不足,以及传统数理统计模型无法描述城镇化空间集聚特征的薄弱点,从空间自相关视角来探讨县域尺度城镇化空间集聚特征。基于人口、经济、空间及社会4个维度构建县域城镇化体系,运用投影寻踪模型测度县域尺度城镇化,较科学地评价县域城镇化水平;采用空间自相关模型分析县域城镇化空间集聚,并解释其影响因素,实现了对县域城镇化空间集聚规律有效揭示。研究结果表明:安徽县域城镇化水平呈上升态势,存在"南高北低"区域分异;县域城镇化具有显著全局空间集聚,局部H-H区集聚"合-芜-马",L-L区集聚皖北地区;地理区位条件、交通网络改善、中心城市作用及发展政策倾向是影响安徽县域城镇化空间集聚主要因素。

关键词(KeyWords)： 县域城镇化;投影寻踪模型;空间集聚;影响因素;安徽省

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(41171144);; 国家社会科学基金项目(14BSH036);; 教育部人文社会科学研究项目(11YJC790077)

作者(Author): 张荣天,焦华富

DOI: 10.16251/j.cnki.1009-2307.2017.01.013

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