周峻松,魏晓燕,孙越凡,程亮

• 1:云南省基础地理信息中心
• 2:南京师范大学
• 3:南京大学

摘要(Abstract)：

针对云南省德宏州国土空间开发格局形成机制复杂的问题,该文提出了一种基于冗余分析(RDA)的驱动力研究方法。使用景观格局指数对各乡镇建设用地空间格局进行定量分析,以自然和社会经济数据作为潜在的驱动因子,利用RDA方法对驱动因子进行约束性排序,分析得出人口和经济因素是主要驱动因素。人口众多、经济发达的乡镇,建设用地相对面积较大,并且建设用地更趋向于聚集。此外,自然因素、农业因素、政策因素等,也与人口和经济因素有联动作用,驱动国土空间形态与结构的形成。提出新的驱动力分析方法,一方面探讨冗余分析方法在国土空间开发格局驱动力分析中的应用潜力;另一方面为云南省第一次地理国情普查成果的深化应用提供典型应用示范。

关键词(KeyWords)： 国土空间开发格局;驱动力;地理国情普查;冗余分析;建设用地;社会经济

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目(41622109,41371017)

作者(Author): 周峻松,魏晓燕,孙越凡,程亮

DOI: 10.16251/j.cnki.1009-2307.2018.07.010

参考文献(References)：

• [1]NEMMOUR H,CHIBANI Y.Multiple support vector machines for land cover change detection:An application for mapping urban extensions[J].Isprs Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing,2006,61(2):125-133.
• [2]STEFANOV W L,RAMSEY M S,CHRISTENSEN P R.Monitoring urban land cover change:an expert system approach to land cover classification of semiarid to arid urban centers[J].Remote Sensing of Environment,2001,77(2):173-185.
• [3]BODZIN A M,CIRUCCI L.Integrating geospatial technologies to examine urban land use change:a design partnership[J].Journal of Geography,2009,108(4/5):186-197.
• [4]LUCK M,WU J G.A gradient analysis of urban landscape pattern:a case study from the Phoenix metropolitan region,Arizona,USA[J].Landscape Ecology,2002,17(4):327-339.
• [5]SETO K C,KAUFMANN R K.Modeling the drivers of urban land use change in the Pearl River Delta,China:Integrating remote sensing with socioeconomic data[J].Land Economics,2003,79(1):106-121.
• [6]WU J,JENERETTE G D,BUYANTUYEV A,et al.Quantifying spatiotemporal patterns of urbanization:the case of the two fastest growing metropolitan regions in the United States[J].Ecological Complexity,2011,8(1):1-8.
• [7]ZHA Y,GAO J,NI S.Use of normalized difference built-up index in automatically mapping urban areas from TM imagery[J].International Journal of Remote Sensing,2003,24(3):583-594.
• [8]LIU X,LI X,CHEN Y,et al.A new landscape index for quantifying urban expansion using multi-temporal remotely sensed data[J].Landscape Ecology,2010,25(5):671-682.
• [9]SETO K C,FRAGKIAS M.Quantifying spatiotemporal patterns of urban land-use change in four cities of China with time series landscape metrics[J].Landscape Ecology,2005,20(7):871-888.
• [10]LONG H,TANG G,LI X,et al.Socio-economic driving forces of land-use change in Kunshan,the Yangtze River Delta economic area of China[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2007,83(3):351-364.
• [11]SERRA P,PONS X,SAURI D.Land-cover and land-use change in a Mediterranean landscape:a spatial analysis of driving forces integrating biophysical and human factors[J].Applied Geography,2008,28(3):189-209.
• [12]CHENG L,JIANG P,CHEN W,et al.Farmland protection policies and rapid urbanization in China:a case study for Changzhou City[J].Land Use Policy,2015,48:552-566.
• [13]JIANG P,CHENG L,LI M,et al.Analysis of landscape fragmentation processes and driving forces in wetlands in arid areas:a case study of the middle reaches of the Heihe River,China[J].Ecological Indicators,2014,46(17):240-252.
• [14]滕宇思,夏维力.城市化进程中的西安市土地利用变化及其驱动力分析[J].测绘科学,2015,40(2):109-114.(TENG Yusi,XIA Weili.Analysis of driving forces on land use change in Xi’an under process of urbanization[J].Science of Surveying and Mapping,2015,40(2):109-114.)
• [15]张志然,刘纪平,赵阳阳,等.长江经济带人口城镇化空间格局及驱动力分析[J].测绘科学,2016,41(12):94-100.(ZHANG Zhiran,LIU Jiping,ZHAO Yangyang,et al.Spatial patterns and driving forces of population urbanization in the Yangtze River economic zone[J].Science of Surveying and Mapping,2016,41(12):94-100.)
• [16]VANDENWOLLENBERG A L.Redundancy analysis an alternative for canonical correlation analysis[J].Psychometrika,1977,42(2):207-219.
• [17]MCARDLE B H,ANDERSON M J.Fitting multivariate models to community data:a comment on distance-based redundancy analysis[J].Ecology,2001,82(1):290-297.
• [18]PERES-NETO P R,LEGENDRE P,DRAY S,et al.Variation partitioning of species data matrices:estimation and comparison of fractions[J].Ecology,2006,87(10):2614-2625.
• [19]尹锴,崔胜辉,赵千钧,等.基于冗余分析的城市森林林下层植物多样性预测[J].生态学报,2009,29(11):6085-6094.(YIN Kai,CUI Shenghui,ZHAO Qianjun,et al.Understory diversity prediction of urban forest based on the redundancy analysis(RDA)[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2009,29(11):6085-6094.)
• [20]黄林芳,李文涛,王珍,等.濒危高原植物羌活化学成分与生态因子的相关性[J].生态学报,2013,33(24):7667-7678.(HUANG Linfang,LI Wentao,WANG Zhen,et al.Correlative study between chemical constituents and ecological factors of Notopterygii Rhizoma Et Radix of endangered plateau plant[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2013,33(24):7667-7678.)
• [21]李然然,章光新,张蕾.查干湖湿地浮游植物与环境因子关系的多元分析[J].生态学报,2014,34(10):2663-2673.(LI Ranran,ZHANG Guangxin,ZHANG Lei.Multivariate analysis of the relations between phytoplankton assemblages and environmental factors in Chagan Lake Wetland[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2014,34(10):2663-2673.)
• [22]LINARES J C,CARREIRA J A,OCHOA V.Human impacts drive forest structure and diversity.Insights from Mediterranean mountain forest dominated by Abies pinsapo(Boiss.)[J].European Journal of Forest Research,2011,130(4):533-542.
• [23]孙永光,李秀珍,郭文永,等.基于CLUE-S模型验证的海岸围垦区景观驱动因子贡献率[J].应用生态学报,2011,22(9):2391-2398.(SUN Yongguang,LI Xiuzhen,GUO Wenyong,et al.Contribution rates of landscape driving factors in coastal reclamation zone based on CLUE-S model validation[J].Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2011,22(9):2391-2398.)
• [24]臧淑英,王凌云,那晓东.基于经济驱动因子的土地利用结构变化区域差异分析:以哈大齐工业走廊为例[J].地理研究,2011,30(2):224-232.(ZANG Shuying,WANG Lingyun,NA Xiaodong.Regional disparities analysis of land-use structure based on economic driving factor:Taking Ha-Da-Qi Industrial Corridor as a case[J].Geographical Research,2011,30(2):224-232.)