周慧君

• 1:南京师范大学地理科学学院

摘要(Abstract)：

针对目前航船轨迹预测方法中对影响船体运动及船员驾驶决策的海洋地理环境缺乏考虑的问题，提出了一种顾及胁迫反应机制的船舶轨迹预测方法，该方法不仅考虑到了航船轨迹本身的运动特性，更通过构建船舶航行中所处的实时海洋环境，将直接影响船体运动的海洋环境特征与影响船员决策的海洋环境特征应用到航船轨迹的预测中。结果表明：考虑航船所处海洋地理环境对船体运动状态的影响与船员面对环境威胁所采取的应对决策可以有效提升船舶轨迹预测的准确度，且本文提出的顾及胁迫反应机制的船舶轨迹预测方法较现有常见方法具有更好的预测能力。

关键词(KeyWords)： 地理环境;胁迫反应机制;船舶轨迹预测;门控循环单元神经网络;海上智能交通

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家重点研发计划项目(2018YFC1407405)

作者(Author): 周慧君

DOI: 10.16251/j.cnki.1009-2307.2022.09.009

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